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Fed Interest Rates: November 2024

56NormalEconomics19 flagged trades

Won at high odds — expected outcome, not necessarily insider trading.

Trade Timeline

11/7/2024, 3:32:46 AM
NormalWonScore: 43
46546412 bought "No" at 99.9% odds for $1337
HIGH: $1337 bet placed 8.5h before resolutionBought at 99.9% odds (edge: 0%)27 wallets bet on same outcome within 15.5h
11/7/2024, 3:51:49 AM
NormalWonScore: 47
xiaote bought "No" at 99.9% odds for $2718
HIGH: $2718 bet placed 8.1h before resolutionBought at 99.9% odds (edge: 0%)27 wallets bet on same outcome within 15.5h
11/7/2024, 5:21:12 AM
NormalWonScore: 47
oVyg7f bought "No" at 99.9% odds for $2398
HIGH: $2398 bet placed 6.6h before resolutionBought at 99.9% odds (edge: 0%)27 wallets bet on same outcome within 15.5h
11/7/2024, 5:22:23 AM
NormalWonScore: 47
oVyg7f bought "No" at 99.9% odds for $2398
HIGH: $2398 bet placed 6.6h before resolutionBought at 99.9% odds (edge: 0%)27 wallets bet on same outcome within 15.5h
11/7/2024, 5:37:03 AM
NormalWonScore: 47
oVyg7f bought "No" at 99.9% odds for $2398
HIGH: $2398 bet placed 6.4h before resolutionBought at 99.9% odds (edge: 0%)27 wallets bet on same outcome within 15.5h
11/7/2024, 6:17:12 AM
NormalWonScore: 45
rtrwwe bought "No" at 99.9% odds for $1653
CRITICAL: $1653 bet placed 5.7h before resolutionBought at 99.9% odds (edge: 0%)27 wallets bet on same outcome within 15.5h
11/7/2024, 6:27:10 AM
NormalWonScore: 46
oVyg7f bought "No" at 99.9% odds for $1998
CRITICAL: $1998 bet placed 5.5h before resolutionBought at 99.9% odds (edge: 0%)27 wallets bet on same outcome within 15.5h
11/7/2024, 6:31:02 AM
NormalWonScore: 45
oVyg7f bought "No" at 99.9% odds for $1544
CRITICAL: $1544 bet placed 5.5h before resolutionBought at 99.9% odds (edge: 0%)27 wallets bet on same outcome within 15.5h
11/7/2024, 10:19:50 AM
NormalWonScore: 45
Cajetan bought "No" at 99.9% odds for $1227
CRITICAL: $1227 bet placed 1.7h before resolutionBought at 99.9% odds (edge: 0%)27 wallets bet on same outcome within 15.5h
11/7/2024, 10:54:56 AM
NormalWonScore: 56
wokerjoesleeper bought "No" at 99.9% odds for $2437
CRITICAL: $2437 bet placed 1.1h before resolutionBought at 99.9% odds (edge: 0%)27 wallets bet on same outcome within 15.5hActive in 3 related events (topics: fed_monetary)
11/7/2024, 10:54:56 AM
NormalWonScore: 56
wokerjoesleeper bought "No" at 99.9% odds for $2437
CRITICAL: $2437 bet placed 1.1h before resolutionBought at 99.9% odds (edge: 0%)27 wallets bet on same outcome within 15.5hActive in 3 related events (topics: fed_monetary)
11/7/2024, 10:59:02 AM
NormalWonScore: 45
Violet bought "No" at 99.9% odds for $1051
CRITICAL: $1051 bet placed 1.0h before resolutionBought at 99.9% odds (edge: 0%)27 wallets bet on same outcome within 15.5h
11/7/2024, 11:15:46 AM
NormalWonScore: 47
Cajetan bought "No" at 99.9% odds for $1665
CRITICAL: $1665 bet placed 0.7h before resolutionBought at 99.9% odds (edge: 0%)27 wallets bet on same outcome within 15.5h
11/7/2024, 11:16:52 AM
NormalWonScore: 47
Cajetan bought "No" at 99.9% odds for $1665
CRITICAL: $1665 bet placed 0.7h before resolutionBought at 99.9% odds (edge: 0%)27 wallets bet on same outcome within 15.5h
11/7/2024, 11:19:26 AM
NormalWonScore: 48
Cajetan bought "No" at 99.9% odds for $1665
CRITICAL: $1665 bet placed 0.7h before resolutionBought at 99.9% odds (edge: 0%)27 wallets bet on same outcome within 15.5h
11/7/2024, 11:38:02 AM
NormalWonScore: 53
wokerjoesleeper bought "No" at 99.9% odds for $1348
CRITICAL: $1348 bet placed 0.4h before resolutionBought at 99.9% odds (edge: 0%)27 wallets bet on same outcome within 15.5hActive in 3 related events (topics: fed_monetary)
11/7/2024, 11:39:28 AM
NormalWonScore: 48
Cajetan bought "No" at 99.9% odds for $1665
CRITICAL: $1665 bet placed 0.3h before resolutionBought at 99.9% odds (edge: 0%)27 wallets bet on same outcome within 15.5h
11/7/2024, 11:48:12 AM
NormalWonScore: 48
Cajetan bought "No" at 99.9% odds for $1665
CRITICAL: $1665 bet placed 0.2h before resolutionBought at 99.9% odds (edge: 0%)27 wallets bet on same outcome within 15.5h
11/7/2024, 11:48:26 AM
NormalWonScore: 48
Cajetan bought "No" at 99.9% odds for $1665
CRITICAL: $1665 bet placed 0.2h before resolutionBought at 99.9% odds (edge: 0%)27 wallets bet on same outcome within 15.5h

Wallets Involved

3 trades · $6,222
7 trades · $11,217
1 trades · $2,718
5 trades · $10,735
1 trades · $1,653
1 trades · $1,051
1 trades · $1,337