Money Won
$770
Money Lost
$0
Net P&L
$770
Unresolved
$0
Wallet Flows
Network view →Inflow
$0
Outflow
$0
Net Balance
$0
Flagged Trades (1)
| Event | Trade?What they bought and at what odds | Size?Dollar value of the bet | Time to ResolutionTTR?How long before the market resolved was this bet placed | Result?Whether the bet won or lost after market resolution | Score?0-100 based on timing, odds, size, and coordination | Signals?What triggered the flag — e.g. low odds, bet timing, coordination |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026? | BUY "Yes" @ 47.0% | $683 | 122d | SuspiciousWon | -499 | against oddslarge bethigh win ratecategory risk |
All Trades (10)
| Date | Market | Side | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026, 08:40 PM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | Yes | 59.0% | $288 |
| Mar 24, 2026, 07:00 PM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | Yes | 58.0% | $283 |
| Mar 13, 2026, 07:12 PM | US forces enter Iran by March 14? | SELL | Yes | 3.2% | $283 |
| Mar 12, 2026, 12:28 AM | US forces enter Iran by March 14? | BUY | Yes | 7.0% | $625 |
| Mar 9, 2026, 11:59 PM | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | SELL | Yes | 8.5% | $9 |
| Mar 9, 2026, 03:35 PM | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | BUY | Yes | 17.9% | $15 |
| Mar 7, 2026, 10:30 PM | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9? | SELL | Yes | 39.6% | $431 |
| Mar 7, 2026, 03:22 PM | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9? | BUY | Yes | 24.8% | $372 |
| Mar 6, 2026, 06:50 AM | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7? | SELL | Yes | 25.0% | $372 |
| Mar 6, 2026, 06:07 AM | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7? | BUY | Yes | 32.8% | $487 |