Money Won
$121
Money Lost
$0
Net P&L
$121
Unresolved
$0
Wallet Flows
Network view →Inflow
$0
Outflow
$0
Net Balance
$0
Flagged Trades (1)
| Event | Trade?What they bought and at what odds | Size?Dollar value of the bet | Time to ResolutionTTR?How long before the market resolved was this bet placed | Result?Whether the bet won or lost after market resolution | Score?0-100 based on timing, odds, size, and coordination | Signals?What triggered the flag — e.g. low odds, bet timing, coordination |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026? | BUY "No" @ 98.9% | $10,879 | 2d | NormalWon | 1 | timing |
All Trades (10)
| Date | Market | Side | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026, 05:01 PM | US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | SELL | Yes | 21.0% | $11 |
| Mar 13, 2026, 10:47 PM | US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | Yes | 34.0% | $34 |
| Mar 6, 2026, 04:23 AM | US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | BUY | No | 99.9% | $10,989 |
| Mar 2, 2026, 04:31 PM | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | No | 0.1% | $0 |
| Mar 2, 2026, 04:31 PM | US x Iran ceasefire by March 2? | BUY | No | 99.5% | $9,950 |
| Feb 28, 2026, 08:03 PM | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | No | 6.4% | $6 |
| Feb 28, 2026, 04:50 PM | US x Iran ceasefire by March 2? | BUY | No | 93.0% | $803 |
| Feb 13, 2026, 07:14 PM | Will the Department of Homeland Security receive full-year funding by February 13, 2026? | BUY | No | 99.7% | $100 |
| Feb 13, 2026, 04:21 PM | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | BUY | Yes | 98.7% | $790 |
| Feb 13, 2026, 04:20 PM | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | BUY | Yes | 98.7% | $987 |