Money Won
$0
Money Lost
$0
Net P&L
$0
Unresolved
$3,575
Wallet Flows
Network view →Inflow
$0
Outflow
$0
Net Balance
$0
Flagged Trades (1)
| Event | Trade?What they bought and at what odds | Size?Dollar value of the bet | Time to ResolutionTTR?How long before the market resolved was this bet placed | Result?Whether the bet won or lost after market resolution | Score?0-100 based on timing, odds, size, and coordination | Signals?What triggered the flag — e.g. low odds, bet timing, coordination |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY "No" @ 86.0% | $3,575 | — | WatchingOpen | 6 | odds edge |
All Trades (10)
| Date | Market | Side | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026, 01:44 PM | US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | No | 94.0% | $374 |
| Mar 27, 2026, 01:42 PM | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | No | 98.8% | $791 |
| Mar 27, 2026, 12:37 PM | Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | No | 87.0% | $96 |
| Mar 27, 2026, 12:28 PM | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | No | 86.0% | $3,575 |
| Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | SELL | No | 99.7% | $248 |
| Mar 25, 2026, 11:10 AM | Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31? | BUY | No | 97.3% | $100 |
| Mar 13, 2026, 07:49 PM | Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election? | BUY | Yes | 83.0% | $72 |
| Mar 13, 2026, 07:34 PM | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | BUY | No | 98.9% | $2,307 |
| Mar 13, 2026, 07:34 PM | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | No | 81.0% | $322 |
| Mar 13, 2026, 07:33 PM | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | BUY | No | 98.9% | $1,771 |